In addition to the US bond yield curve, UK's UK bond yield curve has been reversed Market economists say the US and UK central banks' return curves are “reversed ve and the global economic outlook is likely Too bad.
Recently, a number of global economic data were weak: 14 On Wednesday, Germany announced that the GDP growth rate in the second quarter was "negative growth" of 0.1%, and Wednesday's decline continued the global economic downturn. 14.) The 10-year and 2-year public debt yield spreads of the US and UK decreased to 0%.
“The bond market shows that the central bank cuts interest rates too late, which is bad for the global economy, Marc said Marc Ostwald, a global strategy analyst at ADM Investor Services.
As a matter of fact, the slope of the yield curve of the major global bond markets has been flattening for a long time, on the contrary, it has largely reflected and deepened concerns about the global economic growth of the debt market.
Interest rate analyst Adam Bitch at Banco Santander Bank, Adam Dent, said the US leader would follow the UK and was reluctant to give up the idea that the market would eventually "normalize" interest rates, but it seems that his imagination was disappointing.
The yield curve is not just a blinking red alarm According to Federal Federal's New York branch data, the probability of US recession in the next 12 months has reached 31%, the highest level since the 2008 financial tsunami.
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