Saturday , May 15 2021

A unified right with an independent majority in the coming period? Leakage internal selection analysis



Does the Unified Right have a real chance to defend an independent majority in parliament? This is evidenced by the internal analysis of the election results in regional assemblies.

According to Dziennik Gazeta Prawna, compound right has scrutinized the results of the local government elections. The analyzes are very optimistic for this grouping. According to him, the formation of Jarosław Kaczyński has a chance to win 236 seats in Sejm. Thus, he could defend an independent majority.

The coalition of citizens can count on 177 seats. In Sejm Kukiz & # 39; 15 and PSL would also be. Paweł Kukiz and Władysław Kosiniak-Kamysz have the chance to bring 23 MPs to Sejm.

How did you get the results? Analysts who voted in regional parliamentary elections were divided into 41 regions, which were in force in the Sejm elections. Non-partisan Local Government officials were not considered an unrelated grouping and the votes were evenly distributed among the other parties.

In the parliamentary elections, the PSL was supposed to have twice as bad as in the local elections. It is stated that such a service is usually accompanied by this grouping.

Moreover, the participation in the parliamentary elections will be higher and up to 56 percent. What does it mean? It will not allow the result to reach the SLD exceed 5%. selection threshold.

In the simulation, Dziennik Gazeta Prawna emphasizes that only parties involved in the selection of regional diets are involved. It is not known what effects the next attempts to combine the left will have in the elections.

READ: PiS outlines local government elections. Kaczyński: The results are a good predictor of parliamentary elections. GDA DETAILS

"Dziennik Gazeta Prawna ", rs.


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